Skip to content

Asia-Pacific Network for Global Change Research

Asia-Pacific Network for Global Change Research

Read our Science Bulletin
Project • CRRP2018-04MY-Ali

Towards robust projections of climate extremes and adaptation plans over South Asia

Estimating small-scale and robust future climate extremes greatly depends on finer resolution of both reference (observation) and model data. The statistical and dynamical downscaling scientific communities try to produce reliable data at local scale, reduce the uncertainty and establish the confidence of policy makers over future climate extremes by improving reference and model data. Despite of continuous improvement of climate extremes, there are critical gaps exist in finer resolution, observation is not sufficient and scaling issues between reference and models data over South Asia. There is an urgent need for high resolution regional/local future climate extremes information for impact adaptation and vulnerability studies. The aim of this project to: (i) prepare local scales (5 km) reference data using statistical (long-term trend preserving bias correction methods) and dynamical downscaling approaches; (iii) produce local information of climate extremes and identify the vulnerable regions over South Asia; (iv) recommend adaptation measures at local, national and regional levels; (v) capacity building of researchers, students and policy makers in the field of climate extremes in the developing countries involved in the project; and (vi) develop a portal for reporting/recording information on current and future climate extremes.

Project publications

Peer-reviewed publication • 2025

Selecting the best CMIP6 GCMs for application and downscaling studies over Pakistan, Nepal and Bangladesh

Peer-reviewed publication • 2024

Climate change research, capacity building and communication on climate extremes over South Asia

Peer-reviewed publication • 2023

A 5-km gridded product development of daily temperature and precipitation for Bangladesh, Nepal, and Pakistan from 1981 to 2016

Report • 2023

Project final report: CRRP2018-04MY-Ali

Peer-reviewed publication • 2022

Modelling the impact of climate change on dengue outbreaks and future spatiotemporal shift in Pakistan

Peer-reviewed publication • 2022

Climate change and spatio-temporal trend analysis of climate extremes in the homogeneous climatic zones of Pakistan during 1962-2019

Peer-reviewed publication • 2021

21st century precipitation and monsoonal shift over Pakistan and Upper Indus Basin (UIB) using high-resolution projections

Peer-reviewed publication • 2021

Hydrological projections over the upper Indus Basin at 1.5°C and 2.0°C temperature increase

Peer-reviewed publication • 2020

Future climatic changes, extreme events, related uncertainties, and policy recommendations in the Hindu Kush sub-regions of Pakistan

Peer-reviewed publication • 2020

Identifying hotspots cities vulnerable to climate change in Pakistan under CMIP5 climate projections

Peer-reviewed publication • 2020

Future Extremes and Variability of Rainfall over Monsoon Region of Pakistan

Peer-reviewed publication • 2019

Assessment of climate extremes in future projections downscaled by multiple statistical downscaling methods over Pakistan