PROJECT #2002-10
Climate Variability and Rice-Wheat Productivity in the Indo-Gangetic
Plains
| Project Leader |
Dr. R. K. GUPTA
Regional Facilitator
Rice Wheat Consortium for the Indo-Gangetic Plains
CIMMYT India Office, NASC Complex
DP Shastri Marg, Pusa
New Delhi-110012
INDIA
Tel: +91-11-582-2940, 582-7432
Fax: +91-11-582-2938
Email: r.gupta@cgiar.org
|
| Funding |
US$ 40,000
|
| Participating countries |
Participants from the following countries were funded: Australia, Bangladesh,
Germany, India, Japan, Nepal, New Zealand, Philippines, and USA.
One participant each from Canada and UK were self-funded.
|
Brief introduction and background
Rice-Wheat Systems are critical to South Asian food security. More
than 150 million people support themselves by growing rice in rotation
with wheat, but the sustainability of these systems is under threat on
several fronts. Climate change and increasing climate variability have
raised widespread concern, although the implications of these trends are
not well understood.
Recognizing the complications that climate change and variability could
bring to rice-wheat productivity, the Rice-Wheat Consortium (RWC) for the
Indo-Gangetic Plains had identified a number of researchable issues directly
related to improving agronomic management in response to changed climate
variability which could be critically examined by developing a "systems
analysis" modelling approach which would then be used to conduct scenario
based quantitative "yield gap" analysis of changed climate and management.
RWC, in collaboration with APN, organized a Research Planning Workshop
aimed at developing the systems analysis approach. The workshop, involved
about 20 researchers from the IGP and about 15 from other countries. The
workshop was hosted by the RWC in New Delhi from 8-10 October 2002.
Outline of activities conducted
For re-orientation of the multidisciplinary participants to resource
conserving technologies (RCTs), RWC organised a field visit to 3 villages
in Uttar Pradesh, India on 6 October 2002. During the field visit the delegates
interacted with the farmers and the consortium scientists. The participants
were shown the new tillage and crop establishment options co-evolving with
the Agents for changes in system ecology perspectives. These experiments
related to site-specific nutrient management, tillage and crop establishment
options, competitive cultivars for weed management, DSR rice and
crop residue management, and crop diversification. This helped in better
understanding the relevance of the RCTs to climate change and water issues.
The following day resource persons made presentations, highlighting important
issues related to water, quality of the resource base and environment,
and climate change. The workshop participants also discussed issues of
yield stagnation and declines and constraints in accelerating the pace
in adoption of new RCTs.
Outcomes and products
Participants exchanged views on capabilities of the various computer
simulation models and data set requirements for handling issues related
to RCTs. A CD-ROM containing all of the presentations made during the workshop
was released during the final session of the workshop. The participants
of the programme agreed to develop decision support tools for the improved
management of the rice-wheat system in the IGP in the context of climate
change and variability, and build on existing knowledge of new resource
conserving practices in collaboration with the IGBP-GCTE networks.
Future directions and follow-up work
Main areas for future development include geo-referenced data management;
cropping system model development; scientific capacity building for model
use and interpretation; and developing client-oriented applications. This
will be closely coupled with field experimentation specifically designed
to improve modelling capacity in relation to new resource conserving technologies
(e.g. developing permanent systems of zero-tillage and raised bed planting
for rice-wheat, direct seeded rice in unpuddled flats, and crop residue
and nutrient management etc.), assessing yield losses due to pests, and
their role in promoting yield stability and gains in the face of climate
change and variability.
A full proposal for developing systems analysis capability for the rice-wheat
rotational system and targeted field research will be formulated. This
proposal will be aimed at a number of agencies representing both global
change science donors (e.g. APN, national research councils) and development
agencies (e.g. those supporting the CGIAR Challenge Programmes).
|