PROJECT #2001-05
A Continuation to Regional Climate Model Intercomparison Project
for Asia
| Project Leader |
Prof. Congbin FU
START Regional Center for Temperate East Asia
Institute of Atmospheric Physics
Chinese Academy of Sciences
Beijing 100029
CHINA
Tel: +86-10-6204-1317
Fax: +86-10-6204-5230
Email: fcb@tea.ac.cn
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| Funding |
US $68,000
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| Participating countries |
Participants from Australia, China, India, Japan, Republic of Korea
and United States were funded partially by APN project 2001-05. They were
also funded by their own related national projects. Scientists from the
Democratic People's Republic of Korea, India, Mongolia and Russia were
also involved in project activities, such as contributions to the station
database for model validation.
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Introduction/Background
In order to evaluate the advantages and disadvantages of different
RCMs so that better projection of regional climate change can be provided,
an APN/START Regional Climate Model Intercomparison Project (RMIP) for
Asia was initiated in 2000 to examine the performance of an ensemble of
RCMs in terms of their capacity of simulating regional climate change in
Asia. The RMIP project was originally designed in 2000 into three phases.
Phase One (2000-2001) is an 18-month simulation; Phase Two is a 10-year
simulation to examine the statistical behavior of model capacity; Phase
three is the simulation of climate change in Asia in the 21st century by
RCMs nestled with GCM.
Between April 2000 and March 2001, the 18-month simulation took place
by 10 participating groups. A preliminary analysis on surface climate was
accomplished. A summary workshop was held from February 27th to March 1st,
2001 in Beijing to discuss the products of the preliminary analysis. In
order to understand the results of surface climate simulation, the meeting
decided to continue the RMIP project in two aspects in the fiscal year
2001-2002. Firstly, it was strongly recommended to further analyse other
important outputs from the 18-month simulation such as atmospheric circulation
and land surface physics, etc. Secondly, to conduct the necessary preparation
for Phase two, a 10-year simulation from 1989 to 1998.
Outline of activities conducted
New collection of RCM 18-month run's outputs of 10 models and their
procession
(1) Further analysis and inter-comparison study on the 18-month simulation.
(2) Preparation of the 10-year run.
(3) A summary workshop of phase one was held on 11-13 December 2001
in Kobe with 25 participants from participating groups.
Outcomes/Products
(1) Project summary report of phase one to APN.
(2) Proceedings of the summary workshop, including 17 papers, to be
published by the end of March 2002.
(3) A joint paper to BAMS, formal submission by the end of March 2002.
(4) A number of collaborative papers to be submitted to journals.
(5) Data bank, including main variables of 18-month simulation of 10
models, 514 stations data for validation.
(6) CDs containing the preliminary assessment report of 10 models and
all data sets created during the first phase with total amount of 360TB.
(7) Web sites of RMIP Phase one.
Future direction/Follow-up work
(1) Accomplishment of 10-year run of RCMs (July 1988 - December
1998, first 6 months for spin up time of soil moisture initialization)
driven by new NECP reanalysis data. The model outputs of 10-year run will
be submitted by the end of October 2002.
(2) A workshop to summarize the preliminary analysis of the 10-year
simulation (1989-1998) will be held in February 2003. The summary report
and journal papers will also be produced after the workshop.
(3) As phase 3, DARLAM/Australia, RIEMS/China plan to initiate the
simulation of RCM nestled with GCM to make projection of climatic change
in the 21st century. The preliminary analysis of the simulation results
will be presented by the end of February 2003.
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