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APN Newsletter Vol.7, No.4 October 2001


Message from the Director

It is now typhoon season in Japan. Kobe has been hit by two major typhoons since August. Because of rising ocean surface temperature near the Japanese Archipelago, the typhoons sustained strong power and thus caused economic and social damage. With regard to APN recent activities, it was my great pleasure to be able to participate at the Amsterdam Open Science Conference, and that the APN contributed to giving an opportunity for young scientists from the Asia-Pacific region to join such an exciting and historical scientific gathering (further details of this award programme are given on here of this newsletter). The APN/GLOBEC-SPACC workshop on the causes and consequences of climate-induced changes in pelagic fish productivity in East Asia was held in Kobe from 25 to 27 August. The deadline for the APN Call for Proposal 2001 process was 26 September. We are now busy preparing the peer review process. In addition, the APN-UNU/IAS Joint Workshop on the Asia-Pacific Environmental Innovation Strategy (APEIS) Project and the Millennium Ecosystem Assessment (MA) was attended by APN project investigators and collaborators, as well as the APN Secretariat. The workshop was a great success. A message from the meeting to the 7th APN Scientific Planning Group and Inter-Governmental Meeting will be given and consequently reviewed for further APN involvement in these projects. The Vegetation Recovery Workshop in Western Australia is now under preparation, and the Training Course on Regional Ecosystem Monitoring Technology kicked-off in Kobe this September. With the aforementioned events in mind, I am pleased to report on current APN progress and look forward to your continued assistance and cooperation in APN activities.

-Ryutaro Yatsu

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NEWS FROM THE SECRETARIAT

MAILING LIST
The Secretariat is in the process of updating the APN mailing list. For more details please refer to the form enclosed within this newsletter. If you wish to continue receiving the APN newsletter, please complete and return the form to the Secretariat no later than 17 December 2001. Please note that non-respondents will be omitted from the APN newsletter mailing list.

NEW APN LIAISON OFFICERS
After several years as APN Liaison Officers for SASCOM and TEACOM respectively, Dr. Sumana Bhattacharya and Mr. Zhibin Wan have moved on to new pastures. The APN Secretariat thanks them for their diligence and excellent efforts, and wish them the very best of luck with their new endeavours. The Secretariat also welcomes new APN Liaison Officers, Dr. C. Sharma (SASCOM) and Ms. Yang Ying (TEACOM). As with their predecessors, Dr. Sharma and Ms. Yang are based at the National Physical Laboratory in New Delhi and the Chinese Academy of Sciences in Beijing respectively. We very much look forward to a productive and fruitful working relationship with them both.

APN/GLOBEC-SPACC WORKSHOP ON THE CAUSES AND CONSEQUENCES OF CLIMATE-INDUCED CHANGES IN PELAGIC FISH PRODUCTIVITY IN EAST ASIA
The APN/GLOBEC-SPACC workshop on the causes and consequences of climate-induced changes in pelagic fish productivity in East Asia - first of its kind in the region -was held in Kobe, Japan, from 25 to 27 August 2001. The workshop (APN 2001-07) was organized by project leader Professor Hideaki Nakata of the Faculty of Fisheries at Nagasaki University, Japan, sponsored by the APN, and supported by Seikai National Fisheries Research Institute and the Japanese Society of Fisheries Oceanography. Opening presentations included goals and objectives of GLOBEC-International, PICES-GLOBEC and GLOBEC SPACC. The first half of the workshop focused on the present status of GLOBEC-SPACC projects in China, Japan, the Republic of Korea, Russia and the USA (west coast); as well as scientific reviews of climate-induced changes in pelagic fish productivity. The latter half of the workshop split into two working group discussions on common goals, existing gaps in knowledge, and possible future cooperation: WG-1 Tsuhima Warm Current regions and WG-2 Kuroshio regions. Professor Nakata will provide a more detailed account of this workshop in the forthcoming edition of the APN newsletter (Vol. 8, No.1, January 2002).

JOINT WORKSHOP ON ASIA-PACIFIC ENVIRONMENTAL STRATEGY PROJECT (APEIS) AND MILLENNIUM ECOSYSTEM ASESSMENT (MA)
The joint APEIS and MA workshop was held at the United Nations University in Tokyo, Japan from 6 to 7 September 2001. The workshop was organised by the United Nations Institute of Advanced Studies (UNIAS), the Institute for Global Environmental Strategies, Japan (IGES); the Ministry of Environment, Japan (MOE); and the APN. The workshops objective was to help further understanding of the MA as well as APEIS projects - focusing on points of convergence and combining crosscutting themes in a unified and integrated manner. It also helped develop an analytical framework as well as other aspects relating to monitoring and assessment of the ecosystems/natural resources and policy options, particularly in relation to the basic design of APEIS. This workshop brought together leading experts to explore possible synergies between these projects as well as identifying some critical issues unique to the ecosystems in the Asia Pacific region. A call was made to hold similar workshops. This will be reviewed at the forthcoming 7th APN Inter-Governmental Meeting, which will be held in the Philippines in March 2002.

INTERNATIONAL HUMAN DIMENSIONS WORKSHOP
The International Human Dimensions Programme (IHDP) and the Global Change System for Analysis Research and Training (START) announced a call for applications for the third bi-annual International Human Dimensions Workshop for young developing country scientists. The workshop will take place from 3-14 June 2002 in Bonn, Germany. The theme for the workshop will be 'Human Dimensions of Urbanisation and the Transition to Sustainability'. The deadline for applications is 10 November 2001. All those selected to participate in the workshop will be fully funded by IHDP, START and several other donors. If you are unable to use the online submission form, contact the IHDP office directly for an application form:

Ms. Maarit Thiem, IHDP, Walter-
Flex-Str.3, D-53113 Bonn, Germany.  Fax:+49-228-739054.
Web: <http://www.ihdp.org>
(forms under "news" section)
Email: thiem.ihdp@uni-bonn.de

Back to the contents of APN Newsletters Oct 2001

GUEST ARTICLE

'YOUTH ENVIRONMENT SUMMIT'

19 - 24 November 2000
Lincoln University, Canterbury, New Zealand

The Youth Environment Summit (YES 2000) took place at Lincoln University in Canterbury, New Zealand from 19 to 24 November 2000. The event was sponsored by Meridian Energy (main sponsor); BP New Zealand Ltd; Rotary International; Rotary Club of Lincoln; The British Council; Wickliffe Press; Lincoln University; and the APN.

'YES 2000' represented the sixth version of Lincoln University's successful 'EnviroSchool' series, which has run biennially since its inception in 1990. But whereas the previous five EnviroSchools were 'New Zealand only' events (attended by a total of 582 high school students), it was decided to extend this millennial version to the whole Asia Pacific region, a move made possible by the high input of the Rotary Club of Lincoln, providing a link to Rotary Clubs throughout New Zealand and the Asia Pacific region. Thus adding a whole new cross-cultural dimension to the Youth Environment Summit.

YES 2000 was attended by 67 senior high school students (ages 16 to 17). This included 47 New Zealand students, and 20 Asia Pacific students from 15 countries.

PROGRAMME
The programme for YES 2000 included lectures, workshops, discussion groups, a major one-day field trip to historic Mount Somers station in the Southern Alps foothills in western Canterbury, local visits (including the Antarctic Centre), a special dinner, and a social and entertainment programme. The APN funded the opening session keynote speaker, Professor Patrick Nunn, an expert on climate change and sea-level rise in the Pacific, from the University of the South Pacific in Fiji. In addition, the Rotary Club Lincoln organised a post - YES 2000 one-week Rotary Environmental Field Trip for the 20 Asia-Pacific students, covering the southern half of New Zealand's South Island.

For the Asia-Pacific participants, their attendance at YES 2000 was part of a wider commitment. Rotary International imposed a requirement on each of the 20 students that they should initiate and report back on a local environmental project in their home area. This extension of their involvement continues (as at August 2001).

SUMMARY
Weaving sustainability into human progress is becoming an increasing imperative. In a world of increasing internationalisation - of our trade, commerce and environmental impacts - it is vital to internationalise partnership in our progress toward sustainable development. YES 2000, as an international extension of Lincoln University's previous national (NZ) EnviroSchool events, was a very successful example of environmental education 'sans frontieres', and of partnership between a university, Rotary International and sponsors.

This article was edited by the APN Secretariat based on the YES 2000 report kindly compiled by Associate Professor Graeme D. Buchan, Reader in Environmental Physics and Environmental Education at Lincoln University, New Zealand.


YES 2000 high school participants

CARBON STOCKS OF FOREST ECOSYSTEMS IN SOUTHEAST ASIA
FOLLOWING DEFORESTATION AND CONVERSION

Rodel D. Lasco*

1. Introduction
There is considerable interest in the role of terrestrial ecosystems and the global carbon (C) cycle. It is estimated that about 60 Gt C is exchanged between terrestrial ecosystems and the atmosphere every year, with a net terrestrial uptake of 0.7±1.0 Pg C (Schimell et al., 1996). <Note: 1 Pg= 1015g; 1 Tg= 1012g; 1 Mg= 106g> Land Use Change and Forestry (LUCF) activities, mainly tropical deforestation, are significant net sources of CO2, accounting for 1.6 Pg/yr out of the total anthropogenic emissions of 6.3 Pg/yr (Watson et al., 2000). However, tropical forests have the largest potential to mitigate climate change amongst the world's forests through conservation of existing C pools (e.g. reduced impact logging), expansion of C sinks (e.g. reforestation, agroforestry), and substitution of wood products for fossil fuels.

In the last few years, research on C stocks and dynamics in forest ecosystems in Southeast Asia has intensified and new data has been generated. This article summarizes the available information on C stocks of tropical forestlands in the region in response to deforestation and conversion to other land uses.


Acacia auriculiformis plantation in the Philippines

2. Impact of Deforestation on Carbon Budgets
The last few decades have seen massive deforestation and land use/cover change in the tropics. In Southeast Asia, the 1990 annual deforestation rate is estimated at about 2.6 M ha/yr. There are no studies that directly track the change in C budget through the deforestation process. However, there are studies that have quantified the C stocks in deforested lands, typically covered with grasslands or annual crops.

In Indonesia, various reports show that above-ground C density in grasslands and shifting cultivation areas is typically less than 40 MgC/ha (Table 1). While in the Philippines, grassland and croplands contain only 3.1 to 13.1 MgC/ha. These are vastly lower than the C density in the natural forests that they replace.

Natural tropical forests in Indonesia are estimated to contain 65-390 MgC/ha. In the Philippines and Thailand, natural forests could have 86-201 MgC/ha and 72-182 MgC/ha, respectively. Similarly, Malaysian forests harbor 100-216 MgC/ha in above ground biomass.

Table1. Above ground biomass density of grasslands and annual crops in Indonesia and the Philippines(frrom various source as cited by Lasco 2001)

Land Cover

Carbon density
(Mg/ha)

Indonesia

  • Chromolaena sp.
  • Imperata sp.
  • Cassava
  • Cassava/imperata sp.
  • Upland rice/bush fallow rotation
  • Cultivation agricultural lands
  • Shifting cultivation
  • Grasslands
  • Grasslands

4
1.9
1.7
74
39

5

15-20
15-20
6.0

Philippines

  • Imperata sp.
  • Sacharrum sp
  • Rice
  • Sugarcane
  • Banana
  • Imperata sp.

8.5
13.1
3.1
12.5
5.7
1.7

 

3. Conversion to Tree Plantations and Perennials Crops
Natural forest areas can be converted to plantations of forest trees or perennial crops, usually after commercial logging. This land-use change is expected to reduce C stocks. By comparing the C stocks of the resulting land use with the C stocks of a natural forest we can have an idea of the magnitude of change. This kind of comparison is of course preliminary as the C stocks vary with age of the plantation and the site characteristics.

Various tree and agricultural plantations in the Philippines and Indonesia have C stocks that are 7-51% lower than natural forests (Table 2).

Similarly, agro forestry and plantation farms in Indonesia had C stocks that are 4-66% lower than an undisturbed forest (Table 3). In a lowland peneplain area of the country, rubber and oil palm plantations were estimated to contain 36-46% of the C of the natural forest.
In Mindanao, Philippines, tree plantations of fast growing species contain 3-45% of the C of a natural dipterocarp forest (Table 4). On the other hand, a mature coconut plantation in Leyte province contains 86 MgC/ha in above-ground biomass, which is about 43% of a natural forest in the same area (259 MgC/ha).

Agro forestry systems have been widely promoted as an alternative technology to slash-and-burn farming. They involve planting of trees and perennials in conjunction with agricultural crops. A Leucaena leucocephala fallow field in Cebu, Philippines has a mean C density of 16 MgC/ha/yr during its 6-year cycle (Table 5). This is very low compared to natural forests in the country. Likewise, a coconut-based multi-storey system in Mount Makiling has a C density in AGB of 39 MgC/ha (Zamora, 1999), which is only about 15% of the C of adjacent natural forests.

Table 2 Above-ground C densities of tree and agricultural plantation in the Philippines and Indonesia

Category

Carbon density

% of Natural forest

Philippines

  • Mahogany
  • Tree legumes
  • Dipterocarp
  • Acasia sp.
  • Teak

Natural forest

264
240
221
81
35

518

51
46
43
16
7

-

Indonesia

  • Oil-palm(10yrs)
  • Oil-palm(10yrs)
  • Oil-palm(14yrs)
  • Oil-palm(19yrs)
  • Coffee

Natural forest

62
31
101
96
18

325

19
10
31
30
6

-

 

Table 3. Time averaged C stocks for lowland peneplain in Indonesia(above ground biomass and top 30 cm soil)

Land use system

maximum age(yr)

Time averaged C stock(Mg/ha)

% of Natural forest

Natural forest

Rubber agro forest

Rubber agro forest with selected planting material

Rubber monoculture

Oil palm monoculture


120


40





30



25


20


254


116





103



97


91


-


46





41



38


36

 

Table4. C density of tree plantations in Mindanao, Philippines

Species

Age(yr)

AGB Mg/ha

C density MgC/ha

% of Dipterocarp forest

Albizzia falcataria1
A.falcataria2
A.falcataria3
 


4
5
7
7


69.5
7536
96.4
8.1


31.28
34.02
43.38
3.65


26
28
36
3

 

Table5. Carbon density and MAI of Leucaena leucocephala fallow fields in Cebu, Philippines(from Lasco and Suson, 1999)

Years under fallow

Mean Dry Wt. of above ground biomass
(Mg/ha)

C in Biomass
(Mg/ha)

Annual rate of C accumulation
(Mg/ha/yr)

1
2
3
4
5
6

4.3 d
16.1 cd
17.6 cd
36.4 bc
53.8 ab
63.6 a

2.2
8.1
8.8
18.2
26.9
31.8

2.2
5.9
0.7
9.4
8.7
4.9

Mean

32

16

5.3

 

4. Conclusions
On the basis of the above review of C budgets following deforestation and conversion of forest lands in Southeast Asia, the following conclusions emerge:

  • Deforested areas covered with grasses and annual crops have C density that is typically less than 40 MgC/ha, much less than natural forests.
  • Conversion of natural forests to tree plantations and perennial crops reduce C density by at least 50% compared to natural forests.

Literature Cited
Kawahara, T., Y. Kanazawa, and S. Sakurai. 1981. Biomass and net production of man-made forests in the Philippines. J Jap For Soc 63(9): 320-327.
Lasco, R.D. 2001. Carbon budgets of forest ecosystems in Southeast Asia following disturbance and restoration. Review paper prepared for the GCTE-APN project (APN 2000-02) "Land Use Change and the Terrestrial Carbon Cycle in Asia". February 2001.
Lasco, R.D. and F.B. Pulhin, F.B. 2000. Forestland use change in the Philippines and climate change mitigation. Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies to Global Change 5:81-97.
Lasco, R.D. and P.D. Suson. 1999. A Leucaena Leucocephala-based indigenous fallow system in central Philippines: the Naalad system. Intl Tree Crops Journal 10: 161-174.
Noordwijk, M., K. Hairiah, and S.M. Sitompul. 2000. Reducing uncertainties in the assessment at national scale of C stock impacts of land use change. In, D.B. Macandog (ed) Proc. IGES/NIES Workshop on GHG Inventories for Asia-Pacific Region. Institute for Global Environmental Strategies (IGES), Hayama, Japan. Pp. 150-163.
Schimmel, D., Enting, I.G., Heimann, M., Wigley, T.M.L., Rayneud, D., Alves, D. and Seigenthler, U.: 1995, 'CO2 and the carbon cycle', in J.T. Houghton, L.G. Meira Filho, J. Bruce, H. Lee, B.A. Callander, E. Haites, N. Harris, and K. Maskell (eds), Climate Change 1994: Radiative Forcing of Climate Change and an Evaluation of the IPCC IS92 Emission Scenarios, Published for the IPCC, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, pp. 35-71.
Watson, R.T., I.R. Noble, B. Bolin, N.H. Ravindranath, D.J. Verado and D.J. Dokken (eds): 2000, Land Use, Land-use Change, and Forestry, Published for the Intergovernmental Panel for Climate Change, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, p.377.
Zamora, D. 1999. Carbon dioxide (CO2) storage potential of multistorey agro forestry systems in Mt. Makiling. Unpublished MSc Thesis. University of the Philippines, College, Laguna, Philippines.

*Article compiled by Professor Rodel D. Lasco, Environmental Forestry Programme, University of the Philippines at Los Banos, College, 4031 Laguna, Philippines.
Email: rlasco@laguna.net

Secondary tropical forest in the Philippines

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FEATURED ORGANIZATION

PELANGI
By Agus P. Sari*

Sustainable development is a development of today that doesn't compromise the ability of the future generation to undertake theirs. The World Bank suggested a redefinition of sustainable development as a development that keeps the production capitals intact to allow the same opportunity for future generations to undertake theirs. These capitals are defined as human capital, social capital, natural resources and the environment, and physical (man-made) capital.

The clearer role of natural resources and the environment on sustaining development has given prominence to the environmental movement. From being portrayed as a harmless environmental "club", the environmental movement has emerged as a technical and political movement as well.

Environmental advocacy in Indonesia started in the mid 1980s, championed mainly by two influential NGOs, the Indonesian Environmental Forum (Wahana Lingkungan Hidup Indonesia, WALHI) and the Secretariat for Forest Conservation Network (Sekretariat Kerjasama Pelestarian Hutan Indonesia, SKEPHI). Later on, WALHI emerged to become more influential politically.

In the early 1990s, leading up to the Earth Summit in Rio de Janeiro, the link between the environment and development was made clear and the term sustainable development was enforced. The pressure from within Indonesia and from the preparation towards the Earth Summit to enhance the movement's technical capability also increased.

Although it had operated informally since 1990, Pelangi was established formally in 1992 to serve the environmental movement in Indonesia with strong technical and analytical capability and to provide sound information. Most of the co-founders of Pelangi were at some point affiliated with WALHI. Since then, Pelangi has carved its niche in the issues of environmental institutions, setting a new trend in both non-governmental and academic communities.

Climate change is one of the main issues that Pelangi observes and analyzes. Pelangi's involvement in climate change negotiation goes back to the Second World Conference on Climate Change in 1991, which led to the Intergovernmental Negotiating Committee for a Framework Convention on Climate Change leading up to the signing of the convention at the 1992 Rio Summit, all the way to the Conferences of the Parties. Most recently, from the 1997 Third Conference of the Parties in Kyoto that produced the Kyoto Protocol, Pelangi serves as a member and Technical Advisor to the Indonesian Negotiating Delegation.

Domestically, Pelangi is an active member of the Interministerial National Committee on Climate Change since its inception. Pelangi conducted the first country study on climate change, assessing the socio-economic impacts of climate change in Indonesia. The result of this study was published by the Asian Development Bank and was a key basis for a National Response Strategy.

Most recently, Pelangi's involvement in the climate change debate includes assisting the Indonesian Government to formulate a National Action Plan, undertaking capacity building for developing country negotiators and non-governmental activists, hosting regional and global meetings on climate change for developing countries, assessing the potential for the Clean Development Mechanism (CDM) in Indonesia, including the forestry sector, and assisting the government in setting up a National CDM Clearinghouse. CDM is a mechanism under the Kyoto Protocol through which the industrialized countries can offset their emissions by investing in emissions-reduction projects in developing countries.

In other environmental institutional issues, Pelangi was involved in the establishment of the Indonesian Biodiversity Foundation and the Indonesian Ecolabel Institute. Pelangi is also involved in urban and rural transportation issues, air pollution, clean production, and forestry. Pelangi sits on the Board of the Indonesian Clean Production Roundtable, the Expert Panel of the Asia-Pacific Chapter of the International Council for Local Environmental Initiatives, and houses the secretariat of the Asia-Pacific Sustainable Transport Network.

*Agus Sari is President Director of Pelangi. Contact information: Pelangi. Jalan Danau Tondano A4, Pejompongan, Jakarta 10210, Indonesia.
Tel: +62-21-571-9360, 573-5020
Fax: +62-21-573-2503
Email: apsari@pelangi.or.id
Website: www.pelangi.or.id

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Conference Award Programme: Participation of scientists from APN countries in the 'Challenges of a Changing Earth' Open Science Conference

Isao Koike: Ocean Research Institute, the University of Tokyo

IGBP, in collaboration with IHDP and WCRP held their premier Open Science Conference (OSC) "Challenges of a Changing Earth" in Amsterdam, the Netherlands (10-13 July 2001). IGBP and its Core Projects have now been in the implementation phase for a decade, and the time is now right for the first IGBP-wide open science conference to highlight not only the increasingly integrated research across the IGBP community, but also the growing links to the global environmental change (GEC) partner programmes IHDP and WCRP. We believe that this conference is the most important scientific meeting on global change this year. The conference discussed major accomplishments and syntheses of the last decade of global change research, highlighting comprehensive research carried out by the IGBP in collaboration with IHDP and WCRP. The conference also explored the future of earth system science and how best to make scientifically based contributions to governance for global "sustainability management".

As the links to APN policy, a mission for the Open Science Conference was to increase awareness in the broad scientific, policy and resource management communities of the latest scientific understanding of GEC, including its implications for humanity's aspirations for improved well-being and the quest for global sustainability. The OSC presented the latest scientific understanding of global environmental change at three levels. (1) integrated level of the IGBP core projects and the IGBP as a whole; (2) cross-cutting research involving the WCRP and IHDP, as well as regional research co-ordinated by APN, IAI, START and other groups; and (3) the individual level of the research projects which contribute to IGBP/IHDP/WCRP networks and provide the broad, substantive base on which the integrating activities of the three programmes are built. The OSC saw participation of the global change scientific community, both specialists in disciplinary areas of global change research and the broader community such as policy makers and private sectors. The committee estimated participation of at least 1500 scientists and policymakers from over 50 countries around the world, including 300 students.

At the planning stage, the committee needed a special effort to attract and support scientists from developing countries, Eastern Europe and the former Soviet Union. It was hoped that such a broad international representation would mirror the diversity of science policies and perceptions and respond proactively to the concerns of the science-policy dialog and need for information. In addition, many aspects of the meeting would be relevant for the policy and resource management sectors, as well as for segments of the private sector that are becoming increasingly interested in global environmental change. The plenary presentations together with the more focused parallel and poster sessions presented new and exciting "state-of-the-science" understanding of the Earth System and its changing dynamics in a problem-solving mode.

The IGBP proposed that funding be available from other resources to cover approximately 2/3 of that number from developing countries (~300). With this in mind, a small conference award programme was established to facilitate attendance at this conference by promising scientists from developing countries in the Asia-Pacific region. The direct rationale of the award with respect to APN priority was that this award facilitated improved individual and institutional linkages between young scholars in developing countries throughout the Asia-Pacific region and the global change research community in general. Furthermore this qualitative investment in capacity building would result in a greater number of quality research proposals from these countries in future years and reflected at national, regional and international forums.
Actually, the Global Change Open Science Conference in Amsterdam was a memorial event in the 10-year history of the IGBP programme. As it was the first meeting that involved not only the IGBP but also the two international partner global change programmes, i.e., WCRP and IHDP combined. There was also participation of many senior and young scientists interested in global change science from both developing and developed countries, as well as active communication with policy makers and the mass media. We were notified that the final number of total registration was around 1600-1700 people, with about 100 countries represented - of which, over 400 were from developing countries.

One of the big challenges ahead for IGBP is to facilitate the next generation of global change scientists. Global change research is about increasing scientific understanding as well as broadening the human capacity to deal with implementing Earth System Science, disciplinarily as well as geographically comprehensive. Especially, we believe that the active involvement of young scientists from developing countries into IGBP programmes is crucial for the next decade of the IGBP evolution. Therefore, as I wrote above, participation of scientists from developing countries, especially young scientists, was one of the primary concerns of the committee from the initial stage of its planning. Increase in public concern about global environmental change in those regions is certainly strong motivation for their participation, but the financial support from many international and national agencies including APN materialized the above promise, funding some 250 scientists to attend the conference. On behalf of the organizing committee, I really appreciate APN support to the conference.

The conference composed of daily overview talks in the form of plenary sessions, followed by more detailed topics in parallel and poster sessions. Many of the titles in the plenary session focused on the integration of at least two major projects of the IGBP, WCRP and IHDP, such as Air Quality in the 21st century, Land-Ocean Interactions: Regional and Global Linkages, and Towards Global Sustainability. Parallel sessions in the afternoon were slightly more disciplinary oriented, but still integrated aspects of global environmental sciences, such as Global Change and Fire, Tradeoffs between Food Production and Environment, Vulnerability of Water Resources to Environmental Change. Details of conference presentations from both plenary and parallel sessions (slides and texts) are now available on line by the effort of the IGBP office in Stockholm, and can
be found on the IGBP homepage <http://www.igbp.kva.se>.

During the Conference, an evening session comprised of panel discussions was organized to focus on the issue of global change science in developing countries, entitled "The Scientific Divide and Capacity Building". Professor Thomas Rosswall, Director of the International Foundation for Science, introduced and led the session, and we had 7 panelists; Shem O. Wandiga, Chairman of Pan-African START Committee (PACOM), Kenya; Congbin Fu, Global Change System for Analysis Research and Training (START), Regional Centre for Temperate East Asia, China; Sharifah Mastura, Asia-Pacific Network for Global Change Research (APN), University of Kebangsaan Malaysia, Malaysia; Roberto Aduan, Inter-American Institute for Global Change (IAI), University of Brasilia, Brazil; Hartwig Kremer, Deputy Director of International Project Office of LOICZ, Netherlands; Peter Tyson, Chairman of START, University of Witwatersrand, South Africa; and Mohamed H. A. Hassan, Executive Director of Third World Academy of Sciences, Italy. Professor Rosswall pointed out the serious problem called the "scientific divide" referring that research & development spending by the 29 OECD countries in 1998 was greater than the economic output of the world's 61 poorest countries. Because of poor research environments, those educated and skilled individuals are leaving the country to emigrate and the brain drain is a serious issue, especially in Africa. From the remarks made by the panelists, I learned that the strategy and systems of scientific research in developed countries should be modified according to their culture and custom and the economic situation of local society to improve the research environments in those countries. My personal experience in Southeast Asia also supports the above caution. But, I also feel that there is a steady increase of scientists having sound knowledge of global environments, especially among the young generations in those countries. I like very much the simulative effect of OSC on the global change science in developing countries in the near future.

At the end of this short APN supported project article, I would like to refer to the last part of "The Amsterdam Declaration on Global Change", which was prepared under the auspices of the four international global change research programmes, and formally endorsed by a strong majority of the conference participants to alert the world about the reality of global change and the urgent need for action. " A new system of global environmental science is required. This is beginning to evolve from complementary approaches of the international global change research programmes and needs strengthening and further development. It will draw strongly on the existing and expanding disciplinary base of global change science; integrate across disciplines, environment and development issues and national and social sciences; collaborate across national boundaries on the basis of shared and secure infrastructure; intensify efforts to enable the full involvement of developing country scientists; and employ the complementary strengths of nations and regions to build an efficient international system of global environmental science".


Demonstration of IGBP activities during the conference (photo courtesy of Rowena Foster/GCTE)

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REGIONAL NEWS

OCEANIA

Pacific Centre for Environment and Sustainable Development
To address the ever-increasing needs of the Pacific in the area of environmental education, training, and research based capacity building; the USP Council has approved the establishment of the centre at its Suva Campus. It is with great pleasure that we announce that Dr. Koshy has been appointed the Director of the Environment centre, with effect from 1st August 2001.

11-15 June 2001. SPREP Regional Climate Change Meeting. Nadi, Fiji.
The meeting was attended by Dr. Koshy, and involved participation from most PICs; funding agencies such as UNDP, World Bank and the Canadian International Development Agency (CIDA); diplomatic missions, NGOs, Council of Regional Organisations in the Pacific (CROP) agencies, AOSIS, International Global Climate Institute (IGCI) and the SPREP Secretariat. Items that featured prominently in the meeting included future of the Pacific Islands Climate Change Assistance Programme (PICCAP), project possibilities & funding, training & capacity building and COP-6b.

11 June-28 September 2001. Certificate in Climate Change Vulnerability and Adaptation Assessment. University of the South Pacific, Fiji.
The intensive four-month Programme was designed to instruct participants in the methodology required for the development of national strategies for climate change vulnerability and adaptation assessment. Individuals from USP member countries participated in the course, and included representatives from Fiji, Kiribati, Republic of the Marshall Islands, Nauru, Solomon Islands and Tuvalu undertook the course. Dr. Koshy and Leigh-Anne Buliruarua were resource people in the course. The course was initially held at the University of Waikato in 1998, before being transferred to USP in 1999.

18-19 June 2001. 3rd START-Oceania Regional Committee Meeting. Nadi, Fiji.
The START-Oceania Regional Committee meeting was attended by Dr. Harvey, Prof. Hamnett, Mr. James Aston (SPREP), Dr. Campbell, Dr. Richard Warrick (IGCI) and the START-Oceania secretariat staff. Over the course of the two days, the committee members were briefed on START International and Oceania activities of the past year. The meeting also provided the opportunity to bring the committee members together with Mr. James Aston (SPREP) and Dr. Warrick (IGCI), to discuss current as well as future global change projects in the region.

30 July-11 August 2001. Professional Certificate in Coastal Zone Management. Adelaide, Australia.
The course was part of the capacity building component of Dr. Harvey's APN supported project (2000-11) "Recent Sea-Level Change and Coastal Management Implications for Oceania". Leigh-Anne Buliruarua attended the short intensive "training the trainers" course offered to six participants in the related field from the Oceania region. The course was held at Adelaide University and involved a series of lectures and seminars on coastal management issues, field trips and visits to key South Australian Institutions.

September 5-15. SPREP AGM & Rio+10 Meeting. Apia, Samoa.
Dr. Koshy attended the 12th SPREP AGM that was convened back-to-back with the Council of Regional Organisations (CROP) Regional meeting leading to review and finalise amendments to the 'draft Pacific Islands - Regional Submission to the World Summit for Sustainable Development' to be held in September 2002. CROP has been established to coordinate regional preparations and assist countries in the preparatory processes for the Summit, and is co-chaired by SPREP and the Forum Secretariat.

Compiled from report by APN Liaison Officer Ms. Leigh-Anne Buliruarua

SOUTH ASIA

1. A 'Regional Workshop on Automobile Emissions' was held in conjunction with the planning meeting of 'South Asian START Committee (SASCOM)' at Kathmandu, Nepal, 21-24 May 2001. This meeting-cum-workshop was inaugurated by the Nepalese Minister for Science & Technology, the Honourable Surendra Prasad Chaudhary. In the inaugural session, Prof. Peter Tyson, Chairman of the Scientific Steering Committee of START elaborated START activities with special emphasis on capacity building. He highlighted the importance of looking at Global Change related issues right from regional scales. Dr. Amir Muhammed, Chairman, SASCOM stressed the need to study the global change impacts on the environment, bio-diversity and natural resources and on the overall socio-economic scenario of different sub-regions. Dr. A. P. Mitra in his overview of scientific activities in the South Asian region, spoke about the impact of Global Change on agriculture and water balance in South Asia highlighting the role of aerosols.

In the 'Regional Workshop on Automobile Emissions', participants were drawn from the India, Nepal, Pakistan and Sri Lanka. The workshop participants discussed about inventories of emission for 1990 as base level, technology for mitigation of emissions and available low cost options. More details of this workshop can be obtained from the APN Liaison Officer, Dr. C. Sharma.

2. Work has commenced on the APN funded project (2001-20) on the 'Study of Nutrient, Sediment and Carbon Fluxes to the Coastal Zone in South Asia, and their Relationship to Human Activities'. The participating institutions are NIO of Goa, NIO of Karachi, NORI of Chittagong, Hydrology and Meteorology Department of Kathmandu University, Open University of Sri Lanka and National Aquatic Research Agency of Sri Lanka. During the first year, it is expected to collect and assess data, undertake gap filling studies and synthesis of quantified fluxes. Arrangements are being made for the coordinating scientist from Sri Lanka to visit the research sites during this quarter.

3. The Scoping Workshop of APN funded 'Global Change Impact Assessment for Himalayan Mountain Region for Environment Management and Sustainable Development' is being organized and is to be held 2-5 October 2001 in Kathmandu, Nepal.

4. The data generated during the Indian Ocean Experiment (INDOEX) is available on the web site <www.npl-cgc.ernet.in> of INDOEX Data Centre housed at National Physical Laboratory, New Delhi.

Compiled from report by APN Liaison Officer Dr. C. Sharma

SOUTHEAST ASIA

25 - 27 June 2001. International Workshop "Industrial Development in Coastal Areas of Southeast Asia", Hanoi, Vietnam.
An International Workshop "Industrial Development in Coastal Areas Of Southeast Asia" was held in Hanoi, Vietnam during June 25 - 27, 2001. There were 21 participants from 9 countries; i.e. Cambodia, China, India, Italy, Malaysia, the Philippines, Singapore, Thailand, and Vietnam. The workshops objective was to present the state-of-art Decision Support System (DSS) methodology and GIS (Geographic Information System) technology, and its applications in coastal zone management for the improvement of planning and decision making processes by providing useful and scientifically sound information to the actors involved in these processes, including public officials, planners and scientists, as well as the general public. It also defines the role of ICS-UNIDO in the transfer of technology with the aim of enabling the countries facing the South China Sea to improve their capacity in the use of Spatial Decision Support Systems and to develop networks in the region.

The Spatial Decision Support Systems is an interactive computer based systems that decision makers utilize data and models to solve unstructured problems" (Gorry & Morton, 1971) to "Any system that makes some contribution to decision making" (Sprague & Watson, 1986). During the workshop, the methodology and tools of spatial data analysis were applied to establish computer based decision support systems (DSS) for an integrated coastal area management. The spatial DSS refer to those systems based on the use of GIS (Geographic Information Systems) technology. The integration of those information technologies provides an important source of methods that are usefully incorporated in a decision-support system and make use of geographically referenced information.

The participants were briefed on the meaning and role of decision analysis (DA). And the major tools and components for constructing a Spatial Decision Support Systems (SDSS) for coastal zone management during the workshop were covered; i.e. the GIS, data analysis and image processing, modeling and expert systems, simulation and optimization, Multi-criteria decision analysis and the user interface modules.

25 - 27 June 2001. The Second GIWA Methodology Workshop. Chulalongkorn University, Bangkok, Thailand.
Following the first GIWA (Global International Water Assessment) Methodology Workshop held in China earlier this year, the 2nd workshop was held at Chulalongkorn University, Bangkok, from 26-28 July 2001. GIWA Members from 4 sub-regions joined this meeting; i.e. 2 from Indonesia, 1 from Philippines, 2 from Russia, 2 from Thailand, including 1 GIWA Core Team member and 2 from UNEP. The 2 main instructors were Dr. Anond Snidvongs (Mekong River sub-region) and Dr. Elina Rautalahti (GIWA Core Team). During this session all members were trained on the GIWA methods that involved scaling, scoping and assessment of environmental and socio-economic impacts at present and in the future and the reporting system.

Team members were guided through methodology by scoping the workshop into 5 major concerned according to GIWA classification; i.e. freshwater shortage, pollution, habitat and community modification unsustainable exploitation of fisheries and other living resources, and global change. The methodology utilises optional impact analysis and the causal chain analysis for these 5 concerns underlying with 22 key issues.

In the optional impact analysis, a full analysis was conducted in order to measure environmental change by using GIWA methodology of identifying suites of indicators, units of measures, sources of information. During these steps sub-regional experts were allowed to select the indicators of their priority issue for their sub-region.

The methodology of causal chain analysis is to understand the relationship of statements of causes of a problem by answering the question "why" and "what is the cause of". It will allow experts to be able to anticipate environmental and socio-economic problems in the system on where environmental pressures are increasing (but effects have yet to be manifested). The causal chain can be developed by the team without the need to undertake extensive data gathering and by using the local and thematic knowledge of the team members.

A simple scoring system was classified based on judgment from experts together with a set of quantifiable indicators that may be applied where necessary. There was also agreement among team members on the weighted basis of the scoring system in order to avoid tendency of subjectivity or predisposition to regional culture and value systems. Sustained data archival will be done for 20 years.

The meeting yielded results with all participants acquiring important information that would benefit their work for this GIWA project. All members were highly satisfied with the gathering and expressed their sincere thanks to the working committee.

For more information and electronic reports of all sub-regions, please visit the following web sites; i.e. <www.giwa.net> and <www.grida.net/giwa.>

Compiled from report by APN Liaison Officer Dr. Anond Snidvongs

TEMPERATE EAST ASIA

A) The LUTEA Open Symposium on " Change and Sustainability of Pastoral Land Use Systems in East and Central Asia" (APN 2001-03) was held in Ulaanbaatar, Mongolia, 28 June-1 July 2001. The symposium was a big success as one of the major TEACOM project activities. This included synthesizing existing knowledge on pastoral Land Use and Cover Change (LUCC), identifying knowledge gaps and vulnerability of the regions to global change, reviewing integrated assessment of LUCC and climate change impacts on rangeland ecosystems and pastoral systems and potential adaptation strategies, and enhancing modalities for capacity building and networking among the scientists involved in pastoral LUCC studies in the region, and developing synergies for future collaboration.

B) The 9th TEACOM Committee meeting was held in conjunction with the LUTEA open symposium on 2 July 2001 at the Mongolian Nature and Environment Consortium (MNEC), Ulaanbaatar, Mongolia through support of START International and in-kind support from MNEC.

The meeting covered:
1. Network development of START, IGBP, IHDP and WCRP and regional network development;
2. Reports of ongoing regional projects:
  1) Regional Climate Model Inter-comparison Project for Asia;
  2) Land Use in Temperate East Asia (LUTEA); and
  3) The UNDP/GEF Tumen River Strategic Action Program (TumemNET);
3. National reports from Russia and Hong Kong (China) and a brief introduction of the major national project in China named the "Predictive Study of Aridification in Northern China in Association with Life-supporting Environment Changes";
4. Project proposals to APN;
5. Parallel session on pre-proposal assessment;
6. Young scientist award; and
7. Revision of TEACOM structure and membership.

The next TEACOM meeting will be
held in Vladivostok, Russia in September 2002.

C) The IGBP Global Change Open Science Conference: Challenges of a Changing Earth was held in Amsterdam, the Netherlands, 10-13 July 2001. Through financial support of APN and IGBP, 13 members of TEA RC attended this conference. Prof. Congbin Fu made a report on "how much can the Asia Monsoon be modified by Human-Induced Land-cover Change?" Other TEA RC participants produced posters on regional climate models, extreme value, satellite remote sensing, ecosystem, land use and land cover. This conference provided a chance for TEA RC to exchange information with scientists from other countries and gain a better understanding of global change.

D) The International Conference on Human Yardstick and Natural Process of Environmental Change was held 12-18 May in Xi'an. The aim of this conference was to further the understanding of the feature and essence in natural environmental changes, especially for those natural environmental processes that have a negative influence but can be controlled by human activities. The subject of the conference was to expand background understanding, quaternary climate variation, recent centuries environment changes, human influence and social influence on the environment. Within 130 participants, 60 scientists came from overseas including John Dodson, John E. Kutzbach, S. C. Porter and J. Vendenberghe. More than 60 reports about geology, soil, environment, climate and ecosystem of quaternary were made at the conference.
 
E) The project "Predictive Study of Aridification in Northern China in Association with Life-supporting Environment Changes" has been on-going since October 1999. Within the initial two years of study, the research groups achieved the scheduled objectives and made substantial progress to:
1. Further understanding of the evolution regulation of aridification in northern China and new proof of aridification with various event scales;
2. Qualitative and semi-quantitative proof of human activities exacerbating aridification in northern China;
3. RIEMS (Regional Integrated Environment Model System) utilised to simulate the monsoon system and regional climate of East Asia. Compared with other regional models participating in the RMIP project, RIEMS performs best and provides an objective quantitative tool to predict aridification trends in northern China, and to conduct virtual experiments of human activities; and
4. The research groups proposed a theoretical framework of "orderly" human activities, and carried out investigation and research. In co-operation with Jilin, Ningxia and Xinjiang provincial governments, the project established the demonstration areas.

Based on the research of the first two years, the main foci of the project in the following three years are: natural evolution regulation of the monsoon environment system, the influence of global warming and regional human activities (mainly land use and water use) on aridification, trend prediction and effect evaluation theories and methods, organizing orderly human activities and scientific access to combat aridification.

Compiled from report by APN Liaison Officer Ms. Yang Ying

Back to the contents of APN Newsletters Oct 2001